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Boston Herald
Boston Herald
11 Aug 2024
Mac Cerullo


NextImg:MLB notes: Rising star outfielder Duran on pace for all-time great Red Sox season

He isn’t going to win American League MVP — barring unforeseen circumstances, New York Yankees great Aaron Judge should have that award locked up again — but Jarren Duran is putting together a special season.

How special? If the Red Sox outfielder keeps up his current pace, this season could go down among the very best in franchise history.

As of this writing Duran is on pace to finish with the following totals: 162 games played, 758 plate appearances, 113 runs, 202 hits, 51 doubles, 19 triples, 20 home runs, 84 RBI, 39 stolen bases, 58 walks, 90 extra-base hits and 351 total bases. His slash line is .292/.349/.506 and his Wins Above Replacement is 6.4, suggesting a season-ending total of 9.5 or better could be realistic.

Nobody in MLB history has ever reached all of those marks in the same season, and most of those totals individually would rank near the top of the franchises’ single-season leaderboards.

Let’s start with hits. There have been 28 seasons of 200 or more hits in Red Sox history. Wade Boggs has seven of them, including the single-season franchise record of 240 in 1985. Interestingly, Ted Williams never had a 200-hit season in his career.

There have also only been 10 seasons of 50-plus doubles in Red Sox history. Earl Webb holds the record with 67 in 1931, and Nomar Garciaparra ranks second with 56 in 2002.

If Duran gets to 19 triples he’d be the first Red Sox player in 110 years to reach the mark. There have only ever been six seasons with 19 or more triples in franchise history, the most recent coming courtesy of Larry Gardner in 1914. Tris Speaker holds the franchise record with 22 in 1913.

Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran reacts after hitting a single during the second inning of a July 14 game at Fenway Park. (Nancy Lane/Boston Herald)

Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran reacts after hitting a single during the second inning of a July 14 game at Fenway Park. (Nancy Lane/Boston Herald)

Obviously plenty of Red Sox players have hit 20 home runs, but there have only been 12 seasons of 20 homers and 20 stolen bases in franchise history. There have also only been three 20-30 seasons, and if Duran can get to 40 steals he has a shot at being the first Red Sox player to ever post a 20-40 season. There has been one 40-20 season, however, thanks to Carl Yastrzemski in 1970.

Duran getting to 40 steals would also make this the 10th such season in franchise history. Jacoby Ellsbury and Tris Speaker account for more than half of those with three each.

How about this though? Only three Red Sox players have ever reached 90 extra-base hits in a season: Jimmie Foxx (92 in 1938), David Ortiz (91, 2004) and Rafael Devers (90, 2019). Duran has a shot at becoming the fourth.

All of these marks presume Duran is able to keep his ironman streak alive and play in all 162 games. Only five Red Sox players have ever appeared in 162 games in a season, and Dwight Evans is the only one to do so twice. Jim Rice actually played 163 games in 1978, a feat made possible because the Red Sox and Yankees infamous play-in game was considered a regular-season contest, something the current playoff format no longer allows for.

But if Duran plays in all 162 he has a good chance at setting a new single-season club record for plate appearances. At his current pace he’d tie Wade Boggs’ current mark of 758, and only Boggs, Dom DiMaggio and Mo Vaughn have ever surpassed 750.

Advanced metrics don’t go back as far as most traditional statistics and defensive numbers are generally less reliable, but it also warrants mentioning that Duran currently ranks second among all MLB outfielders with 16 defensive runs saved, according to FanGraphs. That should make him a strong candidate for a Gold Glove, and if he wins he’d become just the 11th Red Sox outfielder to earn the award.

Finally, WAR is an imperfect tool but it does a good job of accounting for all aspects of the game. For those less familiar, the number corresponds to how many wins a given player is worth relative to a replacement-level substitute. A WAR of 2.0 or better roughly equates to a starter, a mark of 5.0 or better an All-Star and 8.0 or better suggests MVP-level performance.

Duran’s current mark of 6.4 is already well over the All-Star threshold — let’s not forget, he did just win All-Star MVP honors last month — and right now he’s on pace to become the seventh position player in Red Sox history to record a 9.0 WAR season. If he does he’d be in excellent company, joining Ted Williams (6 times), Carl Yastrzemski (3), Mookie Betts (2), Tris Speaker (2), Babe Ruth, Wade Boggs and Rico Petrocelli (1 each).

Outside of Petrocelli, all of those guys are current or future Hall of Famers.

Obviously there are still almost two months left to play, but what Duran has accomplished so far is remarkable. When Duran was struggling during his first two big league seasons even the biggest optimist couldn’t have predicted a breakout like this, and if he can finish strong Duran’s 2024 season could go down among the very best in franchise history.

It’s finally over.

After going nearly a full month between wins, the Chicago White Sox finally snapped the longest losing streak MLB has seen in 36 years on Tuesday when they beat the Oakland Athletics 5-1 to end their skid at 21 games.

In doing so they managed to stave off setting a new American League record for sustained futility. They’ll instead share that distinction with the 1988 Baltimore Orioles, who also lost 21 straight games.

Chicago White Sox fans cheer during the ninth inning of a game against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday in Oakland when the team snapped its 21-game losing streak. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)

Chicago White Sox fans cheer during the ninth inning of a game against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday in Oakland when the team snapped its 21-game losing streak. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)

The White Sox losing streak stretched from July 10 to Aug. 5, covering the last four games before the All-Star break and the first 17 games after. By the time it was over Chicago was 27-88, putting the White Sox on a 38-win pace, which would be the fewest ever by an MLB team in a 162-game season and the fewest overall (outside of a pandemic or strike-shortened season) since the 1919 Philadelphia Athletics went 36-104.

The ’24 White Sox and ’88 Orioles don’t hold the record for longest MLB losing streaks overall. The 1961 Philadelphia Phillies lost 23 straight games, which remains the National League record since 1900. The all-time major league record was set by the 1889 Louisville Colonials, who played in the American Association and lost 26 straight games en route to a 27-111 season.

Framber Valdez already had one no-hitter under his belt, and Tuesday night it looked for a while like the Houston Astros ace was about to pitch his second.

Then, with two outs in the ninth inning, Corey Seager stepped to the plate and spoiled the party.

Seager hit a two-run home run to end Valdez’s bid for a second career no-no, forcing Valdez to settle with the win in an otherwise dominant outing. Valdez cruised through the first eight innings and struck out five before ultimately allowing three walks and the home run.

Houston Astros starting pitcher Framber Valdez throws during the second inning of the ALCS Game 5 against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Oct. 20, 2021 in Boston. (Staff Photo By Nancy Lane/MediaNews Group/Boston Herald)

Houston Astros starting pitcher Framber Valdez throws during the second inning of the ALCS Game 5 against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Oct. 20, 2021 in Boston. (Staff Photo By Nancy Lane/MediaNews Group/Boston Herald)

Two of those walks came in the ninth. The first proved inconsequential when Valdez drew a double play to empty the bases right afterwards, but the second was costly, extending the game and bringing Seager to the plate.

Believe it or not, Tuesday wasn’t the first time the five-time All-Star has spoiled a no-hitter.

Eight years ago on Aug. 25, 2016, Seager stepped to the plate while playing for the Los Angeles Dodgers under nearly identical circumstances. With two outs in the ninth, San Francisco Giants left-hander Matt Moore was only one out away from a no-no before Seager blooped a single into right field.

According to MLB.com, Seager is the only player in league history to break up multiple no-hitters with two outs in the ninth inning.

Former Red Sox stars Lou Merloni and Jonathan Papelbon will each play in the upcoming 30th annual Oldtime Baseball Game, which will take place on Thursday, Aug. 22 at St. Peter’s Field in Cambridge.

Founded in 1994, the Oldtime Baseball Game features reproductions of flannel uniforms representing every era of baseball history. The throwbacks include teams like the St. Louis Browns, Brooklyn Dodgers and Philadelphia Athletics, Negro League clubs like the Kansas City Monarchs and a wide range of others.

Red Sox Hall of Famer Jonathan Papelbon waves to the fans before the May 30 game at Fenway Park. (Photo By Matt Stone/Boston Herald)

Red Sox Hall of Famer Jonathan Papelbon waves to the fans before the May 30 game at Fenway Park. (Photo By Matt Stone/Boston Herald)

For the second straight year the game will be played as a fundraiser for The Boston Home, a non-profit residence and national resource for adults with advanced neurological disorders, primarily multiple sclerosis.

Merloni, who played six seasons with the Red Sox and now serves as a TV and radio broadcaster, will also receive the 2024 Greg Montalbano Award, which is given in memory of the late Red Sox pitching prospect who twice appeared in the Oldtime Baseball Game and died of cancer at age 31 in 2009.

The game will also remember five longtime supporters who have passed in the last year – former Red Sox pitcher Tim Wakefield, longtime Cambridge Parks and Recreation director Paul Ryder, local business owner Dave Leibovitz, ESPN columnist Jim Caple and Cambridge native Paul Monagle. Leibovitz and his wife were longtime caretakers of the game’s uniforms and Monagle was a prolific fundraiser whose son and nephew were regular fixtures as batboys and eventually as players.

Admission to the Oldtime Baseball Game is free. Fans should bring a beach blanket or chair to watch along the foul lines, and for more information visit oldtimebaseball.com or thebostonhome.org.