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Boston Herald
Boston Herald
13 Apr 2023
Karen Guregian


NextImg:Guregian: Patriots pre-draft roster projection

Given their additions in free agency, the Patriots could play a game tomorrow and field a fairly competitive team.

With 11 picks in the upcoming NFL draft, a three-day event that kicks off in two weeks on April 27, Bill Belichick should be able to fortify the Patriots roster with the hope of adding a few plug-and-play players.

If they prove to be difference-makers, players that other teams fear or have to game-plan around on either side of the ball, all the better.

But before the Pats start adding to the mix, it’s important to take a look at what the current group looks like, which players figure to have jobs, and who’s on the bubble fighting for a spot.

So without further ado, our pre-draft roster projection.

MAKING THE TEAM

Mac Jones

Bailey Zappe

FALLING SHORT

None

Breakdown: If you listen to Robert Kraft, Jones will be the starter, but with Bill Belichick refusing to publicly acknowledge him as the No. 1, much less say his name in front of reporters, he’s left open the possibility of Zappe being the man.

Or, there’s another quarterback behind Curtain No. 3. We’ll see how that goes.

Chances are, the Patriots will add on in the draft, or sign a journeyman veteran post-draft, or perhaps, both. But it’s not likely that addition will alter the pecking order.

Getting past all the smoke and debris, Jones figures to improve this season now having an experienced play-caller and quarterbacks coach leading him.

Bottom line — Bill O’Brien is a plus no matter who winds up under center.

MAKING THE TEAM

Kevin Harris

James Robinson

Rhamondre Stevenson

Pierre Strong

FALLING SHORT

Ty Montgomery

J.J. Taylor

Breakdown: After a breakout season last year (1,040 yards), Stevenson should pick up where he left off and lead the attack. Given he wore down toward the end of the season after pretty much carrying the whole load, the backs behind him will play a significant role.

Robinson, who was added in free agency, will be in the mix. He’s 24, and had a 1,000-yard rushing campaign his rookie season in 2020. He can also catch the ball coming out of the backfield. His biggest issue has been maintaining his health.

One would assume Strong, Harris, or both, will make the roster in their second year, perhaps squeezing out Montgomery. The latter looked like a promising addition last year, but injuries stopped him in his tracks as he played in just one game. Montgomery figured to be an asset both in the backfield, as well as receiver. It just never materialized.

If he’s healthy, Montgomery will be on the roster. It’s just hard to know his status at this point. Meanwhile, J.J. Taylor continues to be the odd man out.

MAKING THE TEAM

Kendrick Bourne

JuJu Smith-Schuster

DeVante Parker

Matthew Slater

Tyquan Thornton

Raleigh Webb

FALLING SHORT

Lynn Bowden Jr.

Tre Nixon

Breakdown: Insert JuJu Smith-Schuster. Extract Jakobi Meyers. Thus far, that’s the only difference from last year’s collection of wideouts. Meyers, the team’s top receiver the past three seasons, was clearly Mac Jones’ go-to-guy. Basically, Smith-Schuster was brought in for his yards-after-catch ability. It remains to be seen if he can perform as well in the offense as Meyers.

Bourne should have a bounce-back season with O’Brien now running the offense. The Pats also have to hope Thornton makes a huge Year 2 jump. Parker also needs to do more.

The Patriots still need to add another wideout in the draft with a Day 1 or Day 2 pick. And, they can’t afford to miss with another selection at the position.

Slater is listed as a receiver, but returns for his 16th season as a core special-teamer and captain. Webb is another who is primarily utilized on special teams.

MAKING THE TEAM

Mike Gesicki

Hunter Henry

FALLING SHORT

Matt Sokol

Scotty Washington

Breakdown: It’ll likely be Henry, Gesicki and a 2023 draft pick to be named later.

Basically, the Pats need to add a tight end who can catch, and also block.

Gesicki is more like a big slot receiver who doesn’t get his hands dirty moving bodies. Henry is an adequate blocker, but not great. Like Bourne, he should also have a bounce-back year after enduring the worst statistical season of his career. It’s no secret how much O’Brien likes to incorporate his tight ends in the offense.

Another reason the Patriots are likely to add a tight end in the draft is that both Henry and Gesicki will be free agents after the season, so it behooves them to re-stock. And there are a number of good ones to choose from.

Sokol and Washington add some depth, but are practice squad material.

MAKING THE TEAM

Calvin Anderson

David Andrews

Trent Brown

Yodny Cajuste

James Ferentz

Chasen Hines

Conor McDermott

Michael Onwenu

Riley Reiff

Cole Strange

FALLING SHORT

Bill Murray

Kody Russey

Andrew Stueber

Breakdown: The Patriots added tackle depth in free agency (Reiff, Anderson), but still need one more starting-caliber player at the position. With Brown presumably at left tackle, right tackle would be the position to address in the draft. If the Pats land a stud left tackle in the first or second round, Brown could switch back to the right side, or the rookie would handle the right side to start. That’s how it was for Nate Solder.

The Pats are solid in the middle with Andrews flanked by Strange and Onwenu. It’ll be interesting to see if Strange bulked up and added some weight in the offseason. Onwenu, meanwhile, was their best lineman last year, and if not extended, heads to free agency.

McDermott, Cajuste and Anderson are candidates to be the swing tackle. Ferentz might land on the practice squad at the outset, like he usually does. His versatility to play center or guard make him valuable. Hines, a 2022 sixth-round pick out of LSU, had a redshirt year spent on injured reserve and should add depth at guard.

Murray, Russey and Stueber are going to have a tough time sticking.

MAKING THE TEAM

Anfernee Jennings

Matt Judon

DaMarcus Mitchell

Josh Uche

Deatrich Wise

FALLING SHORT

Ronnie Perkins

Breakdown: Judon is the star of the group, setting a career high (15.5) in sacks, but Uche also emerged last season to give the Patriots a good one-two pass rush duo.

Wise typically plays on one side on the early downs, with Uche coming in on passing downs. Jennings also saw time setting the edge on non-passing downs.

As for Perkins, thus far, he’s been a huge disappointment. We’ll see if he can rise out of bust territory.

Mitchell is primarily a special-teamer.

MAKING THE TEAM

Christian Barmore

Carl Davis

Daniel Ekuale

Davon Godchaux

Lawrence Guy

FALLING SHORT

Jeremiah Pharms Jr.

Sam Roberts

Breakdown: This group actually performed pretty well last season, as they were one of the bright spots. Godchaux and Guy were solid up the middle. Davis performed his role as a run stopper coming off the bench, while Ekuale added punch in the pass rush.

Barmore dealt with injury, but continues to be a force when he plays. Roberts, a 2022 sixth-round pick, will have a tough time breaking through. Ditto Pharms.

MAKING THE TEAM

Chris Board

Ja’Whaun Bentley

Raekwon McMillan

Jahlani Tavai

Mack Wilson

FALLING SHORT

Olakunie Fatukasi

Terez Hall

Calvin Munson

Breakdown: Essentially the same group as last season, with the addition of Board, a core special-teamer who arrived via Detroit in free agency.

Both McMillan and Wilson were re-signed, so the Patriots seem fine bringing the band back at linebacker.

Bentley, who was voted a captain, enjoyed his best season as a Patriot last year. The Patriots also like Tavai’s versatility playing either on the edge, or inside.

Fatukasi, Hall and Munson are practice squad candidates.

MAKING THE TEAM

Cody Davis

Kyle Dugger

Jalen Mills

Jabrill Peppers

Adrian Phillips

Brenden Schooler

FALLING SHORT

Joshuah Bledsoe

Breakdown: The biggest news from this group was Devin McCourty retiring, which was expected. As for who will replace him, that’s going to be a tall order.

Mills is the early leader in the clubhouse. He was initially signed as a safety, but moved to corner. After a restructuring of his deal, Mills is headed back to safety and could take over at free safety.

He could see some competition from corners Jonathan Jones or Myles Bryant.

Peppers, meanwhile, was re-signed. He plays primarily as a box safety. Same with Dugger and Phillips.

Davis, who is returning from ACL surgery, and Schooler are core special teamers. Bledsoe is on the bubble.

MAKING THE TEAM

Myles Bryant

Jack Jones

Jonathan Jones

Marcus Jones

Shaun Wade

FALLING SHORT

Quandre Mosely

Rodney Randle Jr

Breakdown: Beyond the Jones trio, Bryant, and possibly Wade, the Patriots need to add in the draft in the earlier rounds. It’s one of their top priorities.

They lack a legitimate top corner. They also lack size. They need an infusion of both.

While re-signing Jon Jones was a plus, the Pats still aren’t equipped to handle the league’s top offenses, especially ones with several elite receivers.

Jack Jones will be in the mix, same with Marcus Jones. Both compete well, but lack ideal size. Marcus Jones, however, does have the skillset to be a very good slot corner.

MAKING THE TEAM

Joe Cardona

Nick Folk

Corliss Waitman

FALLING SHORT

None

Breakdown: With the Patriots scouting quite a few specialists in this year’s draft class, both Folk and Waitman are likely to have competition in training camp.

Waitman was signed after the Patriots dumped Jake Bailey, who has since signed with the Dolphins. The team could conceivably draft a kicker and a punter.

The Pats also made Cardona the highest-paid long snapper in the league.

At this point, they also figure to have at least six (Slater, Schooler, Webb, Davis, Mitchell, Board) core special teams players on the roster.