It’s just too close to call.
Monday was the last day of pre-election polling before any remaining voters cast their ballots in the nearly four-year long made-for-TV political saga that has been the 2024 Presidential Election cycle, and there still isn’t any definitive indication of how this season will draw to a close.
TIPP’s daily tracking poll, which over the last two weeks has alternatively shown either candidate on top, on Monday showed a tie, 48% to 48%. That could change, however, according to those pollsters.
“Significantly, 6% of voters say they may change their minds in these final hours, making each moment critical as the race barrels toward Election Day,” they wrote.
The New York Post kicked out a small poll of less than 1,000 voters. The results? A tie, 49% to 49%.
“Harris and Trump are neck and neck in voter intentions. 49.41% of voters would vote for Kamala Harris, while 48.48% would vote for Donald Trump. All other indicators surveyed also show the two candidates at a tie,” their pollsters wrote.
NBC News’s final survey, you probably aren’t surprised to hear, also came down even.
“The poll shows Harris getting support from 49% of registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Trump gets an identical 49%. Just 2% of voters say they’re unsure about the choice,” NBC wrote.
Emerson College’s end of season poll found the exact same, though they also found that Trump has a slight lead in who voters think might win.
“50% of voters expect Trump to win presidency, 49% Harris,” they wrote.
And, while Atlas Intel found Trump up by two points in a poll with a two-point margin of error, the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion’s latest PBS News/NPR/Marist survey shows Vice President Kamala Harris up by four points nationally, just outside their margin or error.
This puts Harris in the same precarious position her predecessor held ahead of his narrow victory over former President Donald Trump in 2020.
That edge is enough to win Harris the popular vote, according Marist polling director Lee Miringoff, but winning there isn’t necessarily enough of a victory to win the White House — as proven by Trump’s victory over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. And so it comes down to swing states, where it’s also too close to call.
If this all sounds like the plot from the most recent season of presidential politics, well, that’s because it is.
“We’ve gone through all of this to get back to…pretty much where you ended up four years ago,” Miringoff said.
Still, it’s close enough in North Carolina, where New York Times/Siena polling found Harris with a slight lead, that Trump spent his morning in Raleigh trying to get out the vote ahead of Tuesday’s general election.
“Thank you, North Carolina! For the past 9 years, we have been fighting against the most sinister and corrupt forces on earth. With your vote in this election, you can show them once and for all that this nation does NOT belong to THEM…It was hardworking Patriots like you who built this Country—and TOMORROW, it is hardworking Patriots like you who are going to SAVE our Country,” Trump wrote after the rally, capitalization his.
The former president then jetted off to Pennsylvania — where the pair of candidates are tied and the winner will walk away with 19 electoral college seats and a much easier path to victory — for an afternoon rally in Reading and an evening event in Pittsburgh. Trump was then set to travel to Grand Rapids, Michigan, for the closing event of his campaign.
Harris started her day in Detroit, Michigan, before making her way to Pennsylvania for stops in Scranton, Allentown, Pittsburgh, and Philadelphia. Harris also did an interview with Univision, where she reiterated the closing argument of her campaign.
“There’s a big choice here, and my vision and my leadership is about the future. Donald Trump is about taking us backward,” she said. “My vision is about what we do to strengthen the economy, which includes bringing down the cost of living for people, including the cost of groceries. Donald Trump admires dictators. He has said he would be a dictator.”
Massachusetts Gov. Maura Healey hit the campaign trail for the Harris-Walz campaign on Monday, making three stops in New Hampshire. The governor was also working to get out the vote for former Manchester Mayor Joyce Craig, who is running slightly behind in a tight gubernatorial contest against former U.S. Sen. Kelly Ayotte.
Healey, who grew up in the Granite State and still has family living there, appeared at canvass kick-off events in Exeter, Manchester, and Nashua.
According to the Associated Press, as of Monday about of a third of eligible voters had already cast their ballots.
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