Corey A. DeAngelis, school choice evangelist
@DeAngelisCorey

BREAKING: Ken Paxton is beating John Cornyn by 22 points in the Texas Republican Primary Election for Senate.

John Cornyn: 28%
Ken Paxton: 50%

John Cornyn is the incumbent.

Poll conducted May 27-28.

This is the worst showing for Cornyn in a poll, but other polls also have him losing.

While the gaps have been nowhere as large as 22 points, the two polls aggregated at RCP give Paxton a +7.5 lead against Cornyn, with a third candidate named Wesley Hunt getting around 15% amongst Republican primary voters. One of these polls claims to have used a sample of likely voters, but this far out from the election, that doesn't seem terribly reliable. But even if these are just RV polls, Paxton has leads in all three outside the margin of error, even if 22 points sounds somewhat fanciful.