


Allen Lichtman, like so many other pretenders in the media sphere, is a literal zero. He is a nobody, a nothing, a nil.
You only know who he is because every four years, the media trots him out as part of their efforts to fill up as many minutes as possible with nonsense.
You've seen him -- he's the guy with the "13 keys" for predicting, or just guessing, the outcome of presidential elections. (He's such an incredible scholar that you haven't heard of him in any other context.)
He claims something like his 13 keys have "predicted" the winner in all but one of the last nine presidential elections.
Some might say that sounds like it's not much of a better record than most people would achieve through simple guessing, especially given that most presidential contests are not close and can easily be predicted by people who do not possess the awesome power of The Keys.
But those people are Blasphemers, as we'll soon find out.
Before Biden dropped out, this Savant claimed his "keys" predicted a Biden win, so Democrats must stick with Biden. The keys guaranteed his re-election!
Mind you, this was at a time when we now know that Biden's internal polling showed him losing 400 electoral votes to Trump.
After Biden dropped out, he guaranteed that Kamala would win. His Keys proclaimed her victory!
But some other people looked at his stupid "keys" and found that, first of all, they were largely about highly subjective things like whether the short-term economy and the long-term economy were positive for the incumbent or not.
Despite that the fact that America is in the grips of high inflation (short term) and on the edge of a recession (long term), Lichtman gave these two "keys" to Kamala Harris.
Nate Silver said, "Wait a minute, that doesn't seem right to me."
Lichtmann blasted him as a know-nothing punk who just didn't know how to properly work the Magic Keys.
During election night, this alleged political "scientist" just kept making up excuses for why his Keys weren't as magical as they usually are, and offering increasingly desperate statistically-unlikely scenarios whereby the Keys would be vindicated and Kamala would win.
Here's some more pathetic cope.
After the election and his complete humiliation, Lichtman announced that he was stepping back from the media and internet to ponder why his Keys had been so wrong.
"My prediction for this presidential election was wrong. I own up to it right now. I am taking time off today."
"My aim is to assess why the keys were wrong and what we can learn from this era and what the election means for the future of our country going forward."
That lasted about 48 hours. Within 48 hours, he'd figured out the problem:
The Keys were right. They'd always been right.
It was the voters who were wrong.
Now back from his intense 48 hour period of reflection and re-analysis, Lichtman has been spamming out excuses about why his incredible, magical, fantastical keys completely got the winner wrong. (Although Nate Silver would say that actually the keys pointed to a Trump win, but Lichtmann is such a hyperpartisan he wrongly assigned keys to get the outcome he wanted.)
His favorite excuse is... wait for it...
"Misinformation." You see, his Keys totally overlooked the possibility that the Democrat's opponent might get to speak during this election cycle, and say things that hyperpartisans like Lichtman don't think is true.
Which is what he means by "misinformation."
His keys work GREAT unless a Republican is allowed to be heard! If that happen, the Keys are of no use whatseover!
Well, it gets worse for Allan Lichtman.
Piers Morgan had him on to offer more excuses for his Fortune Cookies not correctly forecasting the future, but he was confronted by someone smarter, wiser, saner, and more emotionally intact than he is.
And I can't believe I'm saying this, but that Hero was Cenk Uygur.
Lichtman kept offering a 3M factory's worth of excuses -- misinformation, Musk, and misogyny -- for why his Keys failed, arguing that his Keys were as perfect as they ever were, and Uygur basically kept repeating one simple point that, while very basic, was very insightful: "But you were wrong."
Lichtman began yelling, which he always does when his precious Keys are questioned, and culminated in telling Uygur, who I think is a Muslim, that when he says that Lichtman is wrong and his Keys are dumb, that is committing "blasphemy against me."
Yes, this "scientist" said that.
It's a real hoot.
And now... he's quit Twitter, and moved to the Bubble Community of BlueSky, where all the censorship-demanding leftists are moving to.
To hell with these "experts" who are incapable of acknowledging error or honestly judging the limits of their own claimed "expertise."
By the way, Cenk's getting red-pilled:
Cenk Uygur
@cenkuygur
I asked @elonmusk to put me in charge of cutting the Pentagon. And he said - what are your suggestions? I run the largest left-wing network online and a Democratic leader has NEVER asked me that question. The idea that they would take advice from a populist is disdainful to them.
Now, which side seems more open and inclusive? Which side seems more welcoming and which side tries really hard to drive you away if you disagree even a little with orthodoxy? Which side is asking for suggestions and which one is demanding compliance and obedience?
Maybe, like Ana Kasparian, he's also a Secret Right Winger (having Truth Seizures).