President Joe Biden is losing support among non-white voters, according to an analysis of Siena College polling data by The New York Times.
Biden, who has championed "racial equity" as a policy priority, won the 2020 presidential election with support from 70%of non-white voters, according to the Times. Ahead of the 2024 presidential election, however, Biden is leading former President Donald Trump -- the leading candidate for the Republican nomination -- with an average of 53% support, according to Siena College polling data, representing a 17 percentage point decline in support.
The polling data for Biden's support mirrors a decade-long decline in Democratic presidential nominees' support from minority communities. Among black voters, whereas then-President Barack Obama won 95% of the black vote in 2012, support for Biden among black voters ahead of the 2024 election is down to 88%, according to data reported by the Times.
Among Hispanic voters, the decline has been even greater. Whereas Obama won 70% of the Hispanic vote in 2012, Biden has merely 59% support ahead of 2024, according to the Times.
The declines in vote share continued for both communities during both the 2016 and 2020 elections when Trump was the Republican nominee. Only among non-white voters who were neither black nor Hispanic did the Democratic nominee's vote share increase in 2016, but it has again declined since then, the Times reported.
The decline cuts across other demographic factors such as age, education and gender, according to the analysis. When assessed by income, only non-white voters with an annual income exceeding $100,000 a year support Biden in greater numbers than their vote share for him in 2020.
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Biden's approval rating is currently 47% among non-white voters, according to the latest Siena College poll published on Aug. 1. His approval rating nationally is 39%.
One of the issue hurting Biden among progressives is... his Open Borders policy?!
Am I reading that right?
From Axios:
Blue state migrant crisis sparks political disaster for Biden
Tensions between the Biden administration and local Democrats are coming to a head as shelters around the country overflow and thousands of immigrants arrive in major cities.
Why it matters: President Biden is stuck between growing calls to help the Democratic-controlled cities, the politics of the vulnerable issue and what the administration views as legal handcuffs prohibiting much action.
In cities like New York, Boston and Chicago, a humanitarian crisis for people hoping for new lives in the U.S. has become desperate.
Business leaders and lawmakers at various levels of government are demanding the administration do more to help accommodate migrants -- and are frustrated by what they say is Biden's lack of response.
It's unclear why there hasn't been stronger action by the Biden administration, Senator Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) tells Axios. "I wrote to him in May so it's been like four months, but I hope to find out."
Dude that was only like 15 vacations ago.
How we got here: Republican governors have responded to unprecedented crossings at the U.S.-Mexico border with massive efforts to bus migrants to other destinations.
Oh, the Open Borders crisis is our fault. Got it.
People on the ground tell Axios that's created a snowball effect, leading more migrants to follow those who were placed on state-backed buses to major cities.
Although ultra-blue Sanctuary Cities are complaining that they can't be forced to deal with immigrants the way tiny El Paso is forced to, Democrats can't actually complain about the illegal immigrants themselves.
They're not allowed to.
They have to make a false, proxy complaint: That Biden isn't letting in enough illegal aliens.
And that we just need to provide more "relief" and "resources" to blue cities dealing with the illegals. But not to El Paso or Arizona. Just the blue cities.
The Biden administration, while taking heat from the right over what conservatives claim are "open-border" policies that mark a significant change from the Trump era, is also receiving loud criticism from left-wing politicians and activist groups.
Left-leaning figures say the administration has not done enough to make what they see as progress. That criticism was on display this week when Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., took aim at the administration over its handling of immigration.
"Immigration is arguably this administration's weakest issue. This is one area where our policy is dictated by politics, arguably more so than almost any other," Ocasio-Cortez said in an interview with The New York Times.
"There are very clear recommendations and suggestions that we have made to the administration to provide relief on this issue, and it's my belief that some of the hesitation around this has to do with a fear around just being seen as approving or providing permission structures or really just the Republican narratives that have surrounded immigration."
Biden is meanwhile claiming he's got the border under control.
You will not be surprised to learn that this is yet another huge lie.
The Biden administration has repeatedly pointed to a decrease in crossings at the southern border in May and June as a key indicator that its latest post-Title 42 border policies are working -- but now that narrative is being undercut as the numbers are surging back up.
The Washington Post reported this week that initial Customs and Border Protection (CBP) data shows 177,000 arrests by Border Patrol between ports of entry in August, up from 132,652 in July and 99,539 in June. Family units were the biggest single demographic group.
With encounters at ports of entry at around 50,000, according to the Post, it would mean overall encounter numbers of around 230,000, up from 183,000 in July and around 144,000 in June. It would also be above the 204,000 encountered in August last year.
At the end of the Title 42 public health order on May 11, numbers started going down as the Biden administration implemented a slew of new policies, including parole policies, increased Title 8 enforcement and an asylum rule to limit claims by some illegal immigrants.
Biden officials have claimed that by expanding "lawful pathways" for migration -- including parole, increased refugee resettlement and even setting up processing centers in Central America -- and by increasing the consequences for illegal entry, the administration could bring order to a crisis at the border that has dogged the White House for years.
We'll reduce illegal immigration by just making it legal, just like blue jurisdictions are reducing felony theft by declaring that theft is not a felony.