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Jun 25, 2025  |  
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Scott McKay


NextImg:What Happened to All the Polling?

Here’s something very peculiar, and perhaps telling, which you almost certainly have had zero exposure to: all of the major national polls went dark last week.

Mark Mitchell, the CEO of Rasmussen Reports, has been squawking about this for a few days now on Xwitter…

It turns out that Mitchell is correct. Here’s a screenshot from RealClearPolitics taken at noon central time on Monday, and as you can see, there were no polls other than Rasmussen’s released containing data from later than Sunday, August 4.

rcp trump harris

That’s weird, isn’t it? Kamala Harris picks Tim Walz as her running mate and no major polling organization goes into the field to poll the effect of the choice?

Mitchell was a guest on Steve Bannon’s War Room Saturday and he discussed the peculiarity of this phenomenon…

Adding to the complexity, Mitchell noted to WarRoom host Royce White, that despite Harris’s poor track record on critical issues such as border control and overall favorability, the media continues to push a positive narrative. “Kamala Harris has never pulled better than Joe Biden,” he stated. “Her record is abysmal, with 49% of voters saying she has done a poor job on the borders, and only 19% believing she’s better than recent vice presidents.” This stark contrast between her actual performance and media portrayal raises questions about the motivations behind such reporting.

Mitchell’s concern about the integrity of polling data is further evidenced by the lack of recent national numbers from major polling firms, he told White.

“We’re the only ones putting out fresh national data this week,” he said. “Others have outdated numbers from early August or earlier. The absence of current data from major pollsters indicates a potential effort to suppress unfavorable findings about Harris.”

Looking ahead, Mitchell advised scrutiny of future polls to uncover any biases or methodological flaws.

“Watch for oversampled Democrats or shifts in how data is weighted,” he suggested. “The industry is carrying water for Harris, and it’s crucial for voters to understand the real dynamics of this race.”

Mitchell’s remarks expose what he sees as a concerted effort by the media to distort the reality of Kamala Harris’s candidacy and Donald Trump’s standing.

Mitchell also cut a video on this topic…

One assumes that the Harris campaign is doing internal polling. That obviously hasn’t leaked. In fact, the only time at which Democrat internal polling has made it into public view this year was amid the push to remove Joe Biden as the nominee.

And now that Harris has been anointed the Democrats’ presidential candidate, paired with a governor of arguably the most loony-left state in the union, a man who clearly lied about serving in combat, oversaw hundreds of millions of dollars in COVID fraud, fiddled as his largest city burned following the death of a career criminal suffering from a fentanyl overdose while in police custody, has very suspicious long-standing ties to the Chinese Communist Party and has aggressively embraced all the worst aggressions of the radical LGBTQ and transgenderist movements, all the major polling organizations save for Rasmussen have gone dark — or at least went dark for more than a week (it’s possible that by the time you read this some new national polling will have finally been released).

One of two things has happened. Either these organizations have stopped polling, or they’ve chosen not to release the results of surveys they did perform.

That was a question Rasmussen Reports asked on Xwitter Monday. Most followers think it’s the latter.

It’s fairly obvious they’re right, of course. A hole in polling like this isn’t common. For example, here’s a screenshot from RCP’s polling archive from four years ago…

rcp trump biden 2020

…and here’s a screenshot from the same time period eight years ago…

rcp trump clinton 2016

So no, this is not some seasonal thing.

It isn’t normal for all of the big polling organizations to go dark on the presidential race at the same time. It’s decidedly abnormal for this to happen.

And given the clear use of Photoshop and AI imagery to show augmented crowd photography and in so doing present the Harris campaign as generating surging throngs of devoted fans, plus other interesting fake-it-till-you-make-it tricks, the polling hole is conspicuous.

Rasmussen, by the way, has Trump ahead of Harris 49-44 in its latest numbers.

Yes, yes, you say, but there are polls of swing states! I’ve seen ’em!

That might be true. But people pay even less attention to the methodology of state polling than they do of national polling. Take for example the New York Times/Siena poll of swing states last week which was weighted in a quite ridiculous way. As Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio pointed out…

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Given all this, you might not find it very surprising that so much of America has been led to believe in a Trump slump over the course of the last week. At the same time the drip-drip-drip catastrophe of Tim Walz’ public vetting shocked the country and Kamala Harris once again dodged interviews, town halls, debates, press conferences and even policy statements on her own campaign website.

You’re being deliberately demoralized and gaslit as a Trump voter, on such a scale that you’ve never seen before.

And it’s worth wondering: what will people who will go to lengths like these to achieve political power do when they have that power?

The prospective answers to that question ought to scare you stiff.

READ MORE from Scott McKay:

Five Quick Things: Is Trump Suffering From the Assassin’s Veto?

Behold, Tampon Tim