For years, the idea of a U.S.-India alliance has hovered in the background of American strategic thinking—persistent, appealing, but ultimately illusory. Ever since the Bush-era civil nuclear deal, successive administrations have cast India as a natural partner: a fellow democracy, a counterweight to China, a potential pillar of a liberal international order that no longer exists. That illusion has now faded, replaced by something more durable and grounded: not alliance, but partnership. Strategic, yes. Deepening, yes. But bounded. And rooted not in shared ideology, but in converging interests.
India does not want to be an American ally. That has never changed. What has changed is that Washington finally seems to understand—and even accept—this. After two decades of costly post-Cold War overreach, American strategy is adjusting. What’s emerging in its place is a dense but flexible partnership, one that functions without treaty guarantees or formal blocs. It works precisely because it acknowledges difference, because it’s structured around mutual interest rather than illusions of alignment.
This is not a Cold War redux. It’s something far more fluid: the strategic landscape of multipolarity, in which states hedge, balance, and maneuver across multiple axes of power. In this world, India has adopted a strategy of deliberate multialignment—cooperating with several major powers, including rivals, to advance its own sovereign priorities. That’s not ideological drift. It’s strategic prudence.
Consider India’s posture. It continues to purchase arms from Russia, even as it expands defense logistics and intelligence sharing with the United States. It maintains energy ties with Iran while strengthening naval cooperation with the Quad. It confronts Chinese pressure in the Himalayas while sitting alongside Beijing in multilateral forums like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. None of this is schizophrenic. It’s what sovereignty looks like in a contested international system.
Strategic autonomy isn’t a slogan for India—it’s a foundational principle. That autonomy has allowed New Delhi to avoid becoming ensnared in conflicts not of its making, whether in Ukraine, Gaza, or the Taiwan Strait. Its posture reflects not just geography and statecraft, but memory: of colonialism, Cold War manipulation, and the enduring costs of dependency. India is not looking to be absorbed into someone else’s order. It is building room to maneuver in a world where flexibility is power.
That might once have been disqualifying. But the United States, for all its inertia, has adapted too. Gone is the fantasy that rising powers would converge into a single U.S.-led system. In its place is a harder-edged realism: one focused on balancing revisionist threats rather than transforming the international system. India’s suspicions of China, its defense of maritime access, and its growing weight in strategic sectors make it a natural—if fiercely independent—partner in that effort.
The results are increasingly visible. India now conducts more joint military exercises with the United States than with any other country. Foundational defense agreements—LEMOA, COMCASA, BECA—have enabled interoperability and built trust. The Malabar naval exercises have expanded. Indian officers now train routinely alongside their American counterparts. Intelligence flows in both directions. But no one on either side is pretending this is a budding alliance. It isn’t. And that’s what keeps it stable.
India will not join a Pacific NATO. It will not sign onto mutual defense clauses. It will not subordinate its defense posture to any external framework. Nor is the United States asking it to. What matters is that India acts when it counts—when Chinese coercion in the Himalayas escalates, when sea lanes are threatened in the Indian Ocean, when regional deterrence needs to be reinforced without triggering escalation. On these points, India has quietly proven itself.
The economic relationship follows the same logic. In 2024, bilateral trade passed $200 billion. But what matters is not just scale—it’s composition. This isn’t commodity trade. It’s strategic supply chain cooperation in sectors ranging from semiconductors and artificial intelligence to pharmaceuticals and defense co-production. This is not globalization in the old sense. It’s targeted integration, shaped by national interest and hardened by geopolitical necessity.
For Washington, this means diversifying supply chains away from China and toward trusted, capable partners. For India, it’s a chance to industrialize, gain leverage in strategic technologies, and avoid dependency on either the U.S. or China. The result is selective alignment, not entanglement. It’s a model designed for the era of fragmentation—not a return to multilateral liberalism, but a form of structured resilience.
Undergirding all of this is the Indian-American diaspora. With a population now exceeding 4.8 million, and growing political and cultural influence, this community has become a force multiplier in the relationship. Indian-Americans are present in Congress, the executive branch, Silicon Valley, Wall Street, and increasingly in swing-state electoral politics. They don’t just connect the two countries—they embed the relationship within the American political system.
This matters. In an environment where foreign policy is often downstream of domestic politics, a politically active and strategically minded diaspora ensures that India is not treated as a foreign afterthought. It becomes part of the American strategic conversation—an internal player in an external partnership. Vice President J.D. Vance’s recent visit to India, warmly received and widely publicized, was as much about electoral politics in the Midwest as it was about security in the Indo-Pacific. The message was clear: this relationship now has domestic weight. And it will only grow.
None of this means friction will disappear. It won’t. India will resist pressure on sanctions, vote independently at the UN, and pursue its own diplomatic logic across the Global South. The U.S. will object, sometimes loudly. But the relationship will hold, because it was never built on ideological conformity or false promises of alliance. It was built on the recognition that sovereign states can cooperate—even deeply—without pretending to agree on everything.
Looking ahead, the U.S.-India partnership will likely deepen in three key areas: maritime deterrence and domain awareness in the Indian Ocean and Western Pacific; joint development and regulation of strategic technologies; and growing influence of the Indian-American community in shaping elite opinion and public narratives. None of these requires a treaty. All of them require shared purpose and political will.
India and the United States are not allies in the old, treaty-bound sense. But they are something that may prove more relevant in the decades ahead: sovereign partners navigating a contested international order, working together where interests align, managing divergence where they don’t, and refusing to be locked into brittle forms of cooperation that no longer reflect global realities.
This may well be the future: not a world of fixed alliances, but one of strategic partnerships—resilient, adaptive, and designed for the turbulence that lies ahead.
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Andrew Latham, Ph.D., a tenured professor at Macalester College in Saint Paul, Minnesota. He is also a Senior Washington Fellow with the Institute for Peace and Diplomacy in Ottawa and a non-resident fellow with Defense Priorities, a think tank in Washington, DC
This article was originally published by RealClearDefense and made available via RealClearWire.