<span></span><header class="Article__Header"><div class="Article__Header__Branding"><p class="Article__ContentFlag Article__ContentFlag--link"><span class="LiveCircle"><span class="LiveCircle-circle"></span><span class="LiveCircle-title-red">LIVE UPDATES</span></span></p></div><div class="Article__Headline"><h1 class="Article__Headline__Title">Iowa caucuses 2024: Live results and analysis</h1><p class="Article__Headline__Desc">538 is tracking how Trump, Haley and DeSantis fare in the year's first election.</p></div></header><div class=""><div><div class="FeaturedMedia"><div class="ResponsiveWrapper"><aside class="InlineElement InlineElement--content-width InlineElement--desktop InlineVideo FeaturedVideo" aria-label="Video"><div class="SingleVideo"><div class="MediaPlaceholder relative MediaPlaceholder--16x9 cursor-pointer" aria-hidden="false"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent MediaPlaceholder__Image"><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="" class="" data-mptype="image" src="https://s.abcnews.com/images/538/240111_538_PoliticsPod_thumb_hpMain_16x9_608.jpg" width="100%" height="auto"></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">43:58</div></div></div><div class="Caption__Wrapper"><div class="Caption"><p class="Caption__Title" aria-hidden="true"><span class="RichText">The last debate before Iowa | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast</span></p><div class="Caption__TextWrapper"><div class="Caption__Text" aria-live="polite"><span class="Truncate Truncate--collapsed"><span><span class="RichText">The crew reacts to the head-to-head debate between Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis in Iowa.</span></span></span></div></div><span aria-label="Getty Images" class="RichText Caption__Credit">Getty Images</span></div></div></div></aside></div></div></div></div><div class="ScrollSpy_container"><span></span></div><div class="Developments"><h1 class="Developments__Header">Latest headlines:</h1><ul class="Developments__List"><li class="Developments__ListItem"><a href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/iowa-caucus-2024-live-blog/what-are-caucuses-and-how-do-they-work-in-iowa-106391178?id=106300311">What are caucuses, and how do they work in Iowa?</a></li><li class="Developments__ListItem"><a href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/iowa-caucus-2024-live-blog/what-the-polls-say-106390978?id=106300311">What the polls say</a></li></ul><div class="Developments__Footer">Here's how the news is developing. All times Eastern.</div></div><hr><div><div class="LiveBlog--posts"><div><div class="LiveBlog__post post_106391313"><div class="ScrollSpy_container"><span></span><div class="Post"><div class="Post__Timestamp Post__Timestamp--latest"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/iowa-caucus-2024-live-blog/beating-expectations-is-the-game-in-iowa-106391313?id=106300311"><div class="undefined--recent">Jan 15, 5:42 PM EST</div></a></div><h1 class="Post__Header">Beating expectations is the game in Iowa</h1></div><hr></div></div><div class="LiveBlog__post post_106391305"><div class="ScrollSpy_container"><span></span><div class="Post"><div class="Post__Timestamp"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/iowa-caucus-2024-live-blog/listen-to-the-latest-538-politics-podcast-106391305?id=106300311"><div class="undefined--recent">Jan 15, 5:35 PM EST</div></a></div><h1 class="Post__Header">Listen to the latest 538 Politics podcast</h1></div><hr></div></div><div class="LiveBlog__post post_106391178"><div class="ScrollSpy_container"><span></span><div class="Post"><div class="Post__Timestamp"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/iowa-caucus-2024-live-blog/what-are-caucuses-and-how-do-they-work-in-iowa-106391178?id=106300311"><div class="undefined--recent">Jan 15, 5:31 PM EST</div></a></div><h1 class="Post__Header">What are caucuses, and how do they work in Iowa?</h1></div><hr></div></div><div data-box-type="fitt-adbox-incontent1"></div><hr><div class="LiveBlog__post post_106390978"><div class="ScrollSpy_container"><span></span><div class="Post"><div class="Post__Timestamp"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/iowa-caucus-2024-live-blog/what-the-polls-say-106390978?id=106300311"><div class="undefined--recent">Jan 15, 5:21 PM EST</div></a></div><h1 class="Post__Header">What the polls say</h1></div><hr></div></div></div></div><button class="Button Button--default LiveBlog-loadMore" tabindex="0">Load More</button></div><div class="Article__Footer Article__Footer--news"><div class="StoryDivider StoryDivider--logo"><hr><img alt="ABC News" class="Image Logo Logo__xxxl" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" width="100%" height="auto"><hr></div></div><div class="sponsored-headlines relative sl-wrapper w-100 taboola"></div>

538 analysts live blog news and results from the 2024 Iowa GOP caucuses. How will Trump, Haley, DeSantis and Ramaswamy do in the first presidential nomination contest?{ai:summary}<p>The 2024 Iowa GOP caucuses are underway, with Trump expected to win big. Haley and DeSantis are in a close race for second place.  #politics</p>

Iowa caucuses 2024: Live results and analysis

Latest headlines:

Beating expectations is the game in Iowa

Listen to the latest 538 Politics podcast

What are caucuses, and how do they work in Iowa?

What the polls say

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